Can the Democrats Win in 2020? Or Are We All Doomed?
Conventional wisdom tells us the USA's Hispanic population should be decidedly against #DonaldTrump and the #GOP in general. But, polling demonstrates otherwise. As the Republicans have tried to restrict or outright ban Hispanics from voting via voter ID laws, their support among Hispanic Americans has also risen.
I guess what they say is true: even though I don't like you, we both hate the same people so we're allies.
Now, here’s the brutal truth for Democrats: If Hispanic Americans are in fact showing surging approval of Trump, he could be on his way to matching or exceeding the 40 percent won by George W. Bush in his 2004. If Trump does 12 percentage points better than his 2016 numbers with the growing Hispanic vote, it pretty much takes Florida, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina off the table for Democrats, who would need to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to reach the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the White House. At the same time, that 12-point shift would give Trump a clear shot at winning Colorado and Nevada, states where Hispanic voters make up well over 10 percent of the electorate and where Clinton won by 5 percentage points or less in 2016.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/02/24/2020-hispanic-voters-donald-trump-225192
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